Sorry for the delay in tallying up the standings in TQBR Prediction Game 3.0. I had some girl drama to attend to, a busy stretch at the day job and frankly it was a pain in the ass mathematically that I put off because I knew it would be a pain in the ass mathematically.
Through the midway point, we have two new leaders: Geordie Dancer aka Andrew Harrison, and nazarioz. They propelled themselves into the lead with consistent accuracy in the four weekend fights. Accuracy is good fuel. Seventeen people are perfect in their predictions of the winners so far, in part because most of the bouts’ winners have been little in doubt, so accuracy in the method of victory is the only difference between those 17 people. I won’t do much more mathematical analysis than that, as what math I’ve done today has taken an hour and a half, but I’ll point out a few trends:
1. Most of the people who dropped a bit in the standings were people who took a risk on Ishe Smith to upset Fernando Guerrero. They almost got their wish in a close fight.
2. Nobody picked Rafael Concepcion to beat Fernando Montiel, wisely. Nor did anyone pick Joachim Alcine to upset Alfredo Angulo, wisely. Only one person, the very brave but unwise Team Judge Smails aka willfrank, went with Luis Carlos Abregu to upset Timothy Bradley, although truth be told it was a closer fight than many expected, in part because Abregu was a bit better than many expected. It wasn’t quite Smails-Czervik competitively, but I don’t suppose WF was VERY unwise.
3. Calls of the week go to stickfigure, Drederick Tatum aka Scott Kraus and JB for calling a 3rd round knockout for Angulo — closest to the actual result, the 1st — and Ben Olson for calling a 3rd round knockout for Montiel, which was dead on.
4. I’m bad at math, if you haven’t picked up on this. Really, check your scores if you have an iota of doubt, because I victimize someone weekly (my victims in the last tally: JB and Not Sure aka Jay Ari Yin) and with things this close, it could be the difference between sweet, sexy victory and stinging, ignominious defeat.
As for what’s next, we’ll definitely tackle the July 31 pay-per-view headlined by the Juan Manuel Marquez-Juan Diaz rematch. The question is, how many of those fights should we do? Several are worthy, at least by the standards of boxing’s current dry spell. Let me know which ones you’d want to predict.
Now, your standings.
STANDINGS
Geordie Dancer (Andrew Harrison) 3450
nazarioz 3450
Arthur Billette 3400
KO Onan (Tim Starks) 3350
David Schraub 3350
Not Sure (Jay Ari Yin) 3350
team individuality 3350
Bigmaxy 3300
DukeShadeBlue 3300
Da Legend Killa (cNcEDDIE) 3300
JB 3300
Frankie Topanga (ScottB) 3250
cardscott5 3250
Sad Keanu (ALEXMAC) 3200
the legend 3200
Ben Olson 3200
Team Vuvuzela (edub) 3200
Drederick Tatum (Scott Kraus) 2900
Unifythebelts 2850
The Fire In The Flint (Apemantus) 2800
Grillmaster (indiebass) 2800
Hit Dog 2800
Pew Pew Pew PJ 2800
Mean Eugene (Eugene Dammrod) 2750
Queensberry Wench 2700
Shortfuse (rowyn) 2700
Eu-ro-pe, Eu-ro-pe! (Dobbler) 2600
johnkzoo 2600
Team Judge Smails (willfrank) 2250
Stickfigure 2250
Da Weasel (FunkyBadger) 2150
Morelandj 1550
Paul Kelly 1150
cguenard 1150
miggs88 1150
Basque Country 600
The Royal Marcus 600
beccapooka 600
Malignant Narcissism (Eric Naff) 600
Burbank Baker 550
PI Joe (Irvin Ryan) 500
sam.fong 500
fadein2bolivian 0
